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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	3.1	1.48	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.6	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	3.4	1.83	1.83	1.3	1.18	1.1	7	1.48	2.6	2.38	1.55	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +2.1% | ROI -5.6% | n=322 | k=2.38

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.8% | EV -4.6% | ROI +8.4% | n=322 | k=2.60

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.5% | ROI -5.2% | n=322 | k=1.48

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.6% | ROI -24.0% | n=322 | k=3.40

AI-agent: At the 14th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.38, where the model edge is modest at +0.9% and expected value +2.1%, but historical validation is negative with ROI -5.6%. The model edge is below the +3.0% entry threshold, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation is needed through increased tempo, shots pressure, or a stronger model edge before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 14