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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 32'   —   Genoa 0:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 - - - 2.75 1.32 -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3.3 1.43 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 2.75 2.1 1.67 1.4 1.2 1.2 4.5 1.9 1.95 3.75 1.28 9 1.07
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +3.9% | ROI -3.6% | n=209 | k=1.90
2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +6.4% | ROI +2.3% | n=209 | k=3.75
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.3% | EV -1.7% | ROI -6.1% | n=209 | k=1.32
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -5.9% | EV -11.6% | ROI -3.9% | n=209 | k=1.95
AI-agent: At the 32nd minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and slight home pressure recently. TOP-4 highlights the over 1.5 goals market at odds 1.90, where the model edge is +2.0% and EV +3.9%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -3.6%, below the entry threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as the model edge does not reach the minimum +3.0%. Further confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before placing a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 32