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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	3.3	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	2.75	2.2	1.61	1.4	1.22	1.2	4.5	1.95	1.9	4	1.25	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +4.1% | ROI -2.5% | n=204 | k=1.95

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +6.1% | ROI +9.8% | n=204 | k=4.00

3) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.4% | EV -3.1% | ROI +25.1% | n=204 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.7% | ROI -5.6% | n=204 | k=1.32

AI-agent: At the 33rd minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and a slight tempo advantage for the home side. TOP-4 highlights the over 1.5 goals market at odds 1.95, where the model edge is +2.1% and EV +4.1%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -2.5%, indicating no reliable profit. The model edge is below the entry threshold, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. More clear confirmation from shots, pressure, or odds movement is needed before placing a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 33