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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 34'   —   Genoa 0:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 - - - 2.67 1.32 -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - 3.3 1.45 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 2.75 2.2 1.61 1.4 1.2 1.22 4.33 1.98 1.88 4 1.25 9 1.07
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +4.1% | ROI -1.7% | n=201 | k=1.98
2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +6.1% | ROI +7.5% | n=201 | k=4.00
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.7% | ROI -30.2% | n=201 | k=2.75
4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.6% | ROI +24.8% | n=201 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At the 34th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and a slight home tempo advantage. TOP-4 highlights the over 1.5 goals market at odds 1.98, where the model edge is +2.1% and EV +4.1%, but still below the entry threshold of +3.0%. Historical validation is weak with a -1.7% ROI, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation requires clearer shot dominance and stronger model edge before betting.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 34