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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.75	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	3.3	1.43	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	2.5	2.25	1.57	1.5	1.18	1.3	3.5	2.3	1.6	5	1.17	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +3.4% | ROI -7.4% | n=149 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.7% | EV +4.9% | ROI -2.9% | n=149 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +6.1% | ROI -19.5% | n=149 | k=5.00

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.5% | ROI +19.3% | n=149 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is 0:0 with balanced play, though the visitors have pressured recently. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 1.32, where the model edge is +3.7% and EV +4.9%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -2.9%, below the entry threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as the expert entry condition based on score and tempo is not met. Confirmation on tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed to consider a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 45