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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	3.3	1.4	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.75	2.5	2.2	1.61	1.5	1.17	1.33	3.4	2.35	1.57	5.5	1.14	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +3.5% | ROI -5.4% | n=149 | k=2.35

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.4% | EV +4.6% | ROI -2.9% | n=149 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +6.4% | ROI -11.4% | n=149 | k=5.50

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.6% | EV -3.5% | ROI +16.6% | n=149 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is tied 0:0 with balanced play; the recent phase shows pressure from the away side but no clear shot dominance. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 1.32, with the model edge at +3.4% and EV +4.6%, yet historical validation is weak with ROI -2.9%, below the threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as the entry condition based on score, tempo, and stats is not met. Further confirmation through tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 45