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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	3.3	1.4	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.75	2.5	2.25	1.57	1.5	1.17	1.33	3.4	2.38	1.55	5.5	1.14	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +3.1% | ROI -4.4% | n=149 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.6% | EV +4.8% | ROI -2.9% | n=149 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +6.4% | ROI -11.4% | n=149 | k=5.50

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.6% | ROI +19.3% | n=149 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is goalless with balanced play, though the visitors have pressured recently. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at 1.32 odds with a model edge of +3.6%, but historical ROI is negative (-2.9%), weakening confidence in the bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as entry conditions on score and tempo are not met. Confirmation through increased tempo, shot stats, or odds movement is needed before betting.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 45