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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 48'   —   Genoa 0:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 - - - 3.1 1.32 -
Away 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - 3.3 1.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5 2.4 2.2 1.61 1.5 1.17 1.33 3.4 2.42 1.52 5.5 1.14 15 1.03
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +3.0% | ROI -5.5% | n=136 | k=2.42
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.2% | EV +6.9% | ROI -2.4% | n=136 | k=1.32
3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +6.4% | ROI -15.1% | n=136 | k=5.50
4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.3% | ROI +16.5% | n=136 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At the 48th minute, Genoa and Milan are tied 0:0 with balanced gameplay, though the visitors have had recent pressure. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 1.32, with the model edge at +5.2% and EV +6.9%, but historical validation is weak with a -2.4% ROI. The current status is Watch; no bet is opened as entry conditions on score, tempo, and stats are not met. Clearer confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 48