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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 49'   —   Genoa 0:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 - - - 3.1 1.32 -
Away 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - 3.3 1.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5 2.4 2.2 1.61 1.5 1.17 1.33 3.4 2.42 1.52 5.5 1.14 15 1.03
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +3.0% | ROI -8.8% | n=133 | k=2.42
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.7% | EV +7.6% | ROI -2.1% | n=133 | k=1.32
3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +6.4% | ROI -21.4% | n=133 | k=5.50
4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.3% | ROI +17.4% | n=133 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At the 49th minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is scoreless with balanced play, though the visitors have pressure in recent minutes. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 1.32, with the model showing an edge of +5.7% and EV +7.6%, but historical validation with ROI -2.1% does not support a bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as entry conditions based on score, tempo, and stats are not met. Confirmation through stronger pressure, increased tempo, or odds movement is needed before betting.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 49