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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.48
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	2.6	1.5	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
21	5.5	1.2	4.33	1.14	1.01	-	-	1.45	2.67	3.1	1.35	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.4% | EV +3.5% | ROI -5.0% | n=100 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.9% | EV +2.8% | ROI -4.1% | n=100 | k=1.48

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +3.8% | ROI -22.5% | n=100 | k=3.10

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.8% | ROI -4.3% | n=100 | k=1.45

AI-agent: At the 57th minute in Genoa vs Milan with a 0:1 score, the game shows no clear dominance, though the visitors have had pressure recently. TOP-4 highlights the home +1.5 handicap market at 1.48 odds, where the model edge is +1.9% and EV +2.8%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -4.1%, below the entry threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as the expected value does not meet the minimum +3.0% threshold. Confirmation is needed through increased tempo, shot pressure, or improved odds to consider a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 57