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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.25	1.43
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	2.75	1.68	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
17	4.75	1.25	3.75	1.17	1.02	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.6% | EV +3.7% | ROI -12.2% | n=100 | k=2.25

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.2% | ROI -8.8% | n=100 | k=1.42

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.2% | ROI -28.7% | n=100 | k=2.85

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -5.8% | EV -9.7% | ROI +5.3% | n=100 | k=1.68

AI-agent: At the 58th minute in Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:1 with a balanced game and no clear dominance despite Milan’s increased pressure; shot data offers little confirmation. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 2.25, showing a modest model edge of +1.6% and EV +3.7%, but historical validation is weak with a -12.2% ROI below threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting stronger edge or increased guest pressure to consider placing a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 58