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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 60'   —   Genoa 0:1 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 - - - 3.1 2.42 1.45
Away 1 0 0 3 2 1 1 - 2.67 1.52 1.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
21 5.5 1.2 4.33 1.14 1.01 - - 1.45 2.67 3.1 1.35 9 1.07
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.0% | EV +4.9% | ROI -12.3% | n=99 | k=2.42
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.9% | EV +4.3% | ROI -6.3% | n=99 | k=1.45
3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +3.8% | ROI -24.8% | n=99 | k=3.10
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.8% | ROI -9.2% | n=99 | k=1.45
AI-agent: At the 60th minute of Genoa vs Milan with a 0:1 score, the game shows no clear dominance, though the visitors have pressured recently. TOP-4 highlights the home +1.5 handicap market at 1.45 odds, with a model edge of +2.9% and EV +4.3%, but historical validation is negative with ROI -6.3%. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as entry conditions based on score and tempo are not met. Confirmation in tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 60