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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.35	1.24
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	3.9	1.62	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	6	1.12	6	1.12	1	-	-	2.3	1.65	10	1.06	26	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.7% | EV +46.4% | ROI -4.0% | n=71 | k=2.35

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +5.2% | ROI -19.0% | n=71 | k=2.30

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.6% | EV +15.6% | ROI -23.9% | n=71 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.3% | EV -10.5% | ROI +6.9% | n=71 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At the 77th minute, the score is 0:1 to Milan, but there is no clear dominance in play, with the home team increasing pressure. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 2.35, with the model edge at +19.7% and EV +46.4%, yet historical validation is weak with ROI -4.0%. The bet entry is not confirmed by the current score and tempo, so the current status is Watch. Confirmation is needed through increased tempo, pressure, or odds movement to consider a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 77