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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.35	1.24
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	3.9	1.62	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	6	1.12	6	1.12	1	-	-	2.35	1.62	11	1.05	26	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.9% | EV +56.1% | ROI -10.0% | n=69 | k=2.35

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +5.3% | ROI -25.1% | n=69 | k=2.35

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.6% | EV +15.6% | ROI -47.8% | n=69 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.4% | EV -10.3% | ROI +10.7% | n=69 | k=1.62

AI-agent: At the 79th minute in Genoa vs Milan with a 0:1 score, the market highlights the home +1 handicap at 2.35 odds with a model edge of +23.9% and expected value of +56.1%. However, historical validation is weak with a -10% ROI, and the current game state and tempo do not confirm the entry. This market should stay on watch, awaiting confirmation from tempo, shots, and odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 79