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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	0	8	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.3	6
Away	2	0	0	5	3	2	1	-	1.12	1.65	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
301	41	1.01	6	1.11	1	-	-	-	-	2.8	1.45	15	1.03

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.1% | EV +48.1% | ROI +54.2% | n=48 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +4.8% | ROI -12.5% | n=48 | k=2.80

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.8% | EV -4.5% | ROI +0.0% | n=48 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -6.4% | EV -9.3% | ROI -0.3% | n=48 | k=1.45

AI-agent: At the 86th minute in the Genoa vs Milan match with a 0:2 score, the market favors the away handicap -1, with odds dropping 17% from pre-match levels. Historical validation shows a 54.2% ROI and 100% win rate over 48 similar matches. The model confirms a strong edge of +29.1% and EV of +48.1%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation of away team activity and further odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 86