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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	1	9	3	-	-	-	3.1	2.1	1.15
Away	2	0	0	5	3	2	1	-	5.5	1.77	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
67	7	1.1	7	1.1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.9% | EV +43.9% | ROI -83.3% | n=48 | k=2.10

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -6.5% | EV -9.1% | ROI -1.3% | n=48 | k=1.40

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -24.9% | EV -44.1% | ROI +54.2% | n=48 | k=1.77

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -10.3% | EV -56.8% | ROI -6.2% | n=48 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At the 86th minute, the score is 1:2 in favor of Milan, but the game remains balanced with the home side more active recently. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 2.10, with the model edge at +20.9% and EV +43.9%, yet historical validation is weak (ROI -83.3%) in similar situations. The bet entry is not confirmed by the current score and game tempo, so the status is Watch. Confirmation is needed through increased home pressure, more shots, and odds movement before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 86