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Italy | Serie A | Inter - Verona | 17.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 81'   —   Inter 1:0 Verona
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 14 5 9 10 - 3 1.27 - - -
Away 0 0 0 7 2 5 2 - - - - 3.55 1.38
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.07 9 67 1 1.07 9 - - 2.2 1.7 9 1.07 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +9.4% | EV +20.7% | ROI -30.2% | n=41 | k=2.20
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.9% | EV +11.7% | ROI -26.8% | n=41 | k=3.00
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -13.7% | EV -23.3% | ROI +16.1% | n=41 | k=1.70
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -9.9% | EV -13.7% | ROI +4.0% | n=41 | k=1.38
AI-agent: At the 81st minute, Inter leads 1:0 with no clear dominance from either side, reflected in balanced shot statistics. TOP-4 highlights the home -1 handicap market at odds 1.27, with historical validation showing a 1.8% ROI over 41 matches and an 83.3% win probability. The model edge is +4.6% with an EV of +5.8%, but no new bet is opened since the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting further confirmation such as sustained pressure or odds movement.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378228 | minute: 81