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Italy | Serie A | Inter - Verona | 17.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 83'   —   Inter 1:0 Verona
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 14 5 9 10 - 3.3 1.27 - - -
Away 0 0 0 7 2 5 2 - - - - 3.55 1.32
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.07 9 81 1 1.07 9 - - 2.45 1.57 11 1.05 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +9.5% | EV +23.2% | ROI -35.5% | n=38 | k=2.45
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.1% | EV +13.4% | ROI -39.2% | n=38 | k=3.30
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -13.8% | EV -21.7% | ROI +16.1% | n=38 | k=1.57
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -9.8% | EV -13.0% | ROI +8.1% | n=38 | k=1.32
AI-agent: At the 83rd minute, Inter leads 1:0 with a balanced game and no clear pressure from either side. TOP-4 highlights the Over 1.5 market at odds 2.45, where the model edge is +9.5% and EV +23.2%, but historical ROI is negative (-35.5%), reducing confidence. The Home AH -1 at odds 1.27 shows a model edge of +3.4% and EV +4.4%, yet historical validation is weak (ROI -0.2%), so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation through increased tempo, pressure, or odds movement is needed before entering a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378228 | minute: 83