Match Replay

Step 62 of 78. Current minute: 74 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	5	5	7	-	1.17	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	23	81	1	1.01	23	-	-	-	-	1.98	1.88	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.1% | EV +25.6% | ROI +32.3% | n=158 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.4% | EV +21.9% | ROI +39.2% | n=158 | k=5.00

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.3% | ROI +0.0% | n=158 | k=1.98

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -6.2% | ROI -7.4% | n=158 | k=1.88

AI-agent: At the 74th minute, Roma leads Lazio 2:0 with the home side controlling the game, showing more shots and pressure in recent minutes. TOP-4 highlights a bet on home handicap -1 at odds 1.50, with historical validation over 158 matches showing a 32.3% ROI and 95% win probability. The model edge is +17.1% with an EV of +25.6%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch; this market should stay on watch awaiting confirmation of tempo and pressure for a possible re-entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 74