Match Replay

Step 65 of 78. Current minute: 79 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	5	5	7	-	1.14	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	5.75

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	26	101	1	1.01	26	-	-	-	-	2.25	1.68	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.3% | EV +25.9% | ROI +36.4% | n=154 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.3% | EV +36.3% | ROI +26.9% | n=154 | k=5.75

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -1.1% | ROI -12.3% | n=154 | k=2.25

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -6.1% | ROI +2.2% | n=154 | k=1.68

AI-agent: At the 79th minute, Roma leads Lazio 2:0, controlling the game with active pressure and more shots. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap -1 market at odds 1.50, with historical validation over 154 matches showing a 36.4% ROI and 96.8% win probability. The model edge is +17.3% with an EV of +25.9%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, the bet should stay on watch while awaiting further confirmation from sustained tempo and home pressure.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 79