Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	5	6	7	-	1.14	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	5.75

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	26	101	1	1.01	26	-	-	-	-	2.4	1.6	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.3% | EV +26.0% | ROI +37.0% | n=150 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.2% | EV +35.4% | ROI +26.5% | n=150 | k=5.75

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.0% | ROI -8.8% | n=150 | k=2.40

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.7% | EV -6.0% | ROI -0.8% | n=150 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At the 80th minute, Roma leads 2:0 and controls the game, supported by shot activity and a 14% drop in odds for the home side from pre-match levels. TOP-4 highlights a bet on home handicap -1 at odds 1.50, with historical validation over 150 matches showing a 37% ROI and 97.5% win probability. The model edge is +17.3% with an EV of +26.0%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation of continued home pressure and odds movement for a potential entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 80