Match Replay

Step 67 of 78. Current minute: 81 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	5	6	7	-	1.14	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	5.75

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	29	101	1	1.01	29	-	-	-	-	2.45	1.57	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.4% | EV +26.1% | ROI +37.0% | n=150 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.0% | EV +34.6% | ROI +26.5% | n=150 | k=5.75

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -1.1% | ROI -10.2% | n=150 | k=2.45

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.9% | EV -6.1% | ROI -0.3% | n=150 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At the 81st minute with Roma leading 2:0, the home team controls the game and shows more shots, increasing pressure. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap -1 market at odds 1.50, with historical validation over 150 matches showing a 37% ROI and 97.5% win probability. The model edge is +17.4% and EV +26.1%, but no new bet is opened since the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch; this market should stay on watch awaiting further confirmation from sustained pressure and game developments.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 81