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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	1	3	4	-	2.25	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	1	3	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5	15	1.03	1.17	3.75	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.02	1.82	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +11.1% | EV +18.1% | ROI +29.9% | n=1011 | k=1.62

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.4% | EV +41.1% | ROI +12.4% | n=1011 | k=2.50

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.7% | EV +32.7% | ROI +21.3% | n=1011 | k=3.75

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.6% | EV +18.0% | ROI +7.5% | n=1011 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 39th minute, Roma leads 1:0 with a balanced game; Lazio applies pressure but shots do not clearly confirm dominance. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.62, with historical validation from 1011 matches showing a 29.9% ROI; the model edge is +11.1% and EV +18.1%. No new bet is opened since the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, keeping the market under observation while awaiting confirmation from tempo, shots, and odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 39