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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 44'   —   Roma 1:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 5 2 3 5 - 2.25 1.5 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 4 1 3 1 - - - 3.1 2.5 1.62
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.25 5 15 1.03 1.17 3.75 - - 1.25 4 2.1 1.77 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.8% | EV +17.6% | ROI +18.0% | n=475 | k=1.62
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.2% | EV +40.4% | ROI +34.2% | n=475 | k=2.50
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.7% | EV +32.7% | ROI +53.9% | n=475 | k=3.75
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.6% | EV +18.0% | ROI +35.8% | n=475 | k=5.00
AI-agent: At the 44th minute, Roma leads 1:0 in a match that remains closely contested with a slight shot advantage for the home side. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.62, with historical validation showing an 18% ROI over 475 matches; the model edge is +10.8% and EV +17.6%. However, no new bet is opened since this position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation through increased pressure or odds movement before entering.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 44