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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	2	3	5	-	2.25	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	1	3	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5	15	1.03	1.17	3.75	-	-	1.25	4	2.08	1.73	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +11.1% | EV +18.0% | ROI +18.7% | n=467 | k=1.62

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.4% | EV +40.9% | ROI +33.7% | n=467 | k=2.50

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.7% | EV +32.7% | ROI +51.8% | n=467 | k=3.75

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.6% | EV +18.0% | ROI +36.0% | n=467 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, the Roma vs Lazio match stands at 1:0 with a balanced game and a slight shot advantage for Roma. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.62, with historical validation over 467 matches showing an 18.7% ROI and a 73% win rate. The model edge is +11.1% with an EV of +18.0%, but no new bet is opened since the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation through tempo or pressure changes before entering a new position.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 45