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Italy | Serie A | Roma - Lazio | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 66'   —   Roma 1:0 Lazio
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 7 3 4 6 - 2.75 1.5 1.35 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 2 4 2 - - - 3.1 2.5 1.43
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.18 5.5 23 1.01 1.14 4.5 - - 1.52 2.42 3.75 1.28 10 1.06
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.4% | EV +14.8% | ROI +12.0% | n=365 | k=1.42
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.6% | EV +51.5% | ROI +24.7% | n=365 | k=2.50
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.7% | EV +34.5% | ROI +38.1% | n=365 | k=4.50
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.8% | EV +21.0% | ROI +34.1% | n=365 | k=5.50
AI-agent: At the 66th minute, Roma leads 1-0 in a tight match with slight dominance in shots and pressure from the home side. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.43, with historical validation over 365 games showing a 12.0% ROI and 78.6% win rate. The model edge is +10.4% with an EV of +14.8%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting further confirmation from guest tempo and pressure dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 66