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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	3	4	6	-	2.75	1.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.43

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	21	67	1	1.01	21	-	-	-	-	1.61	2.3	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +34.4% | EV +94.7% | ROI -41.2% | n=365 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.1% | EV +24.1% | ROI -20.0% | n=365 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -8.0% | ROI +3.5% | n=365 | k=2.30

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -3.1% | ROI -27.1% | n=365 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At the 66th minute, Roma leads Lazio 2:0. TOP-4 highlights the home -1 handicap market at odds 1.50 with a model edge of +16.1%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -20%, which does not support a reliable bet. The model sees potential, yet the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation is needed through increased tempo, shot pressure, or odds movement before entering.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378231 | minute: 66