Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	2	-	-	-	1.77	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	1	3	1	-	-	-	2.1	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	2.62	3.2	1.33	1.44	1.4	1.22	4.33	1.98	1.88	4	1.25	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +3.2% | EV +10.3% | ROI +3.2% | n=933 | k=3.20

2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -3.8% | ROI -3.0% | n=933 | k=1.98

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.8% | ROI -4.5% | n=933 | k=1.88

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -4.0% | EV -5.6% | ROI -1.1% | n=933 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 42 minutes with a 0:0 score, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw, with odds dropping 23% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play. Shot data does not strongly favor either side, though the recent phase is dominated by Everton. Both teams are playing at a slower pace than their last meeting, which ended 1:1 after West Ham led 1:0 at this stage. Historical data supports an Everton win with a 32.3% probability and a positive ROI of 3.2%, but the model's edge of +3.2% is below the minimum threshold for a confident bet. The best option is a cautious watch on an away win at 3.20 odds, while other markets show negative expected value. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, so risk control is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379307 | minute: 42