Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	2.38
Away	2	0	0	8	4	4	3	-	1.55	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
21	8	1.12	6	1.08	1.01	-	-	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.05	1.8

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.2% | EV +54.3% | ROI +60.4% | n=172 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +4.5% | ROI +31.0% | n=172 | k=4.33

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.4% | ROI +5.7% | n=172 | k=1.80

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.2% | EV +7.7% | ROI -25.4% | n=172 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 49 minutes into the match, Tottenham leads Aston Villa 2-0, with no red cards issued. Market pressure strongly favors the away side, reflected by a 63% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and match dynamics. Tottenham shows more activity in shots and tempo compared to Aston Villa, consistent with recent head-to-head trends where the away team performed better. Historical data for similar situations supports a -1 Asian Handicap on Tottenham with an 83.7% win rate and a 60.4% ROI, confirming a fair value bet at odds around 1.19. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules not being met based on the current score and match flow. The top markets suggest watching the -1 Asian Handicap on Tottenham as the best candidate, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and patience for a clearer entry point.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 49