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England | Premier League | Aston Villa - Tottenham | 03.05.2026 | 23:00:00 | LIVE 19'   —   Aston Villa 0:1 Tottenham
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 1.62 1.7 -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 - - 2.1 2.25 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5 4 1.61 2.2 1.22 1.17 - - 1.07 9 1.36 3.2 2.1 1.73
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.0% | EV +3.5% | ROI -2.8% | n=423 | k=1.70
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +3.8% | ROI +8.2% | n=423 | k=3.20
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.1% | ROI +4.1% | n=423 | k=1.73
4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -6.7% | EV -14.7% | ROI -6.4% | n=423 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At 19 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 1-0 and is showing stronger market support with odds dropping 46% from pre-match levels. The game has been close, but Tottenham is more active in shots and applying pressure recently. Historical data for a +1 handicap on Aston Villa is weak with a negative ROI and the model's edge at +2.0% is below the threshold to place a bet. The top markets suggest watching the +1 handicap and under 2.5 goals options, both showing slight positive expected value but not strong enough for a confident bet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 19