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England | Premier League | Aston Villa - Tottenham | 03.05.2026 | 23:00:00 | LIVE 17'   —   Aston Villa 0:1 Tottenham
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 1.62 1.65 -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 - - 2.2 2.25 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.75 4 1.67 2.1 1.22 1.17 - - 1.06 10 1.33 3.4 2.05 1.8
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.4% | ROI +4.1% | n=401 | k=1.80
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +4.2% | ROI +10.2% | n=401 | k=3.40
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.2% | ROI -4.1% | n=401 | k=1.65
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -6.8% | EV -14.9% | ROI -4.7% | n=401 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 1-0 and is applying clear pressure, reflected by a 44% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Tottenham is more active in shots and tempo, consistent with their stronger recent head-to-head performance. Historical data supports a bet on under 2.5 goals with a positive ROI of 10.2%, but the current model edge of +1.2% is below the threshold to open a bet. The top markets suggest watching under 2.5 or under 3.5 goals, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry. Caution is advised as the model does not yet confirm a strong betting opportunity despite the favorable trends.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 17