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England | Premier League | Aston Villa - Tottenham | 03.05.2026 | 23:00:00 | LIVE 78'   —   Aston Villa 0:2 Tottenham
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 3 0 3 3 - - - 1.62 1.73 3.55
Away 2 0 0 9 4 5 4 - 1.27 2.08 2.25 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
67 19 1.02 19 1.02 1 - - - - 2.12 1.75 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.5% | EV +71.6% | ROI +94.9% | n=170 | k=2.08
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.1% | ROI +15.3% | n=170 | k=1.75
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.0% | EV +21.2% | ROI -62.4% | n=170 | k=3.55
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.8% | EV -10.3% | ROI -27.5% | n=170 | k=2.12
AI-agent: At the 78th minute, Tottenham leads Aston Villa 2-0 in a match where the market strongly favors the visitors, with odds dropping by 66% from pre-match levels. Tottenham has been more active in shots, reflecting their control despite Villa's late pressure. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a reliable bet on Aston Villa not losing, despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value for a 1X bet. The top markets suggest watching Asian Handicap away -1 and under 2.5 goals, but no clear betting opportunity is confirmed due to historical underperformance and risk. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet moment, so caution is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 78