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England | Premier League | Aston Villa - Tottenham | 03.05.2026 | 23:00:00 | LIVE 78'   —   Aston Villa 0:2 Tottenham
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 3 0 3 3 - - - 1.62 1.73 3.8
Away 2 0 0 9 4 5 4 - 1.25 2.08 2.25 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
67 21 1.01 21 1.01 1 - - - - 2.3 1.65 9 1.07
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.8% | EV +72.3% | ROI +94.9% | n=170 | k=2.08
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.8% | ROI +8.7% | n=170 | k=1.65
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.7% | EV +25.4% | ROI -59.8% | n=170 | k=3.80
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.6% | EV -10.5% | ROI -21.5% | n=170 | k=2.30
AI-agent: At the 78th minute, Tottenham leads Aston Villa 2-0 in a match where the market strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 66% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score. Tottenham has been more active in shots and maintains a tempo advantage, although Aston Villa is pressing in the latest phase. Historical data supports a -1 Asian Handicap on Tottenham with a 98.7% win rate and a high ROI of 94.9%, confirming a strong edge and expected value. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules related to the current score and match dynamics. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised despite the favorable statistics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 78