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England | Premier League | Bournemouth - Crystal Palace | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 10'   —   Bournemouth 1:0 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 0 2 2 - 1.7 1.93 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 1.93 2.1
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.22 6.5 12 1.04 1.11 4 - - 1.05 11 1.25 4 1.8 2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.0% | EV +60.2% | ROI +55.2% | n=537 | k=4.00
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.0% | EV +4.2% | ROI +28.7% | n=537 | k=2.10
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.4% | ROI -4.6% | n=537 | k=2.00
4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +4.5% | ROI +1.7% | n=537 | k=4.00
AI-agent: At 10 minutes into the Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace match, Bournemouth leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 21% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not strongly confirm dominance. The tempo shows Bournemouth pressing more actively than in their last meeting, while Crystal Palace is below their usual level. Historical data from 537 similar matches supports a draw outcome with a positive ROI of 25.9%, and the model signals a draw with a strong edge and expected value. However, no new bets are opened as the draw position is already covered. The top markets suggest watching double chance on the away draw and Asian handicap +1.5 for the away team, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control advised given the current dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 10