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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	0	3	2	-	1.73	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.93	2.08

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	6	12	1.04	1.12	4	-	-	1.05	11	1.28	3.75	1.88	1.98

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.0% | EV +5.8% | ROI +2.8% | n=105 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.1% | EV +64.2% | ROI +33.3% | n=105 | k=4.00

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.3% | EV +32.0% | ROI +25.7% | n=105 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.7% | EV +3.5% | ROI +26.5% | n=105 | k=2.08

AI-agent: At 13 minutes into the Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace match, Bournemouth leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 21% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance. Bournemouth is more active than in their last meeting, while Crystal Palace is underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data for similar situations supports a home handicap -1 bet with a positive ROI of 2.8% and a fair odds estimate around 1.85. The model confirms this bet with an edge of +3.0% and expected value of +5.8%, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. Among top markets, the best bet remains Bournemouth AH -1, with other options on draw or away handicap watched for potential opportunities. This is a monitored situation with a controlled risk profile rather than a mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 13