Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	5	5	2	-	6.4	2.65	2.02	-	-
Away	1	0	0	13	4	9	10	-	-	-	1.82	1.5	1.11

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.08	8	151	1.5	1.25	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +24.9% | EV +37.4% | ROI +50.0% | n=45 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.6% | EV +30.7% | ROI +26.3% | n=45 | k=2.65

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -16.0% | EV -24.0% | ROI -16.7% | n=45 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -53.0% | EV -74.2% | ROI -90.7% | n=45 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Newcastle leading 2-1 against Brighton, the market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score change rather than clear dominance. The last phase saw Brighton applying pressure, but Newcastle maintains the lead without a clear gameplay advantage. Historical data strongly supports a double chance on Newcastle (1X) with a 100% non-loss rate in 45 similar matches and a 50% ROI, though the entry window for this bet closed after the 86th minute. The top markets suggest monitoring the 1X and Asian Handicap Home -1 options, both showing positive expected value and edge, but no new bets are recommended at this late stage. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control given the match dynamics and timing.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 90