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England | Premier League | Newcastle - Brighton | 02.05.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Newcastle 2:1 Brighton
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Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 10 5 5 2 - 6.4 2.7 2.02 - -
Away 1 0 0 13 4 9 10 - - - 1.82 1.48 1.11
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.05 11 251 1.5 1.25 1.4 - - - - - - 7 1.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +25.0% | EV +37.5% | ROI +50.0% | n=45 | k=1.50
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.3% | EV +44.1% | ROI +27.3% | n=45 | k=2.70
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -21.2% | EV -31.2% | ROI -16.8% | n=45 | k=1.48
4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -55.8% | EV -78.1% | ROI -90.7% | n=45 | k=1.40
AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Newcastle leads Brighton 2-1 with no red cards. The market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop since pre-match, and the recent goal came without clear dominance. Shot data doesn't confirm control by either side, though Brighton has applied pressure late on. Historical data strongly supports a double chance on Newcastle (1X) with a 100% non-loss rate in similar situations and a 50% ROI. The model indicates a positive edge and expected value for 1X, but the betting window closed after the 86th minute. Current recommendations are to watch rather than bet, as the entry opportunity has passed and risk remains. Monitoring the match is advised without mandatory betting action.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 90