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England | Premier League | Newcastle - Brighton | 02.05.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 17'   —   Newcastle 1:0 Brighton
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 - - 2.3 2.02 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - - 1.82 1.6 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 4 4.33 1.2 1.22 2 - - 1.05 11 1.3 3.5 1.93 1.93
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.0% | EV -9.2% | ROI +16.1% | n=117 | k=2.30
2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -2.9% | ROI -12.8% | n=117 | k=1.92
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.2% | ROI -18.3% | n=117 | k=1.60
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.4% | EV -5.7% | ROI +3.3% | n=117 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the Newcastle vs Brighton match, Newcastle leads 1-0, with market odds favoring the home side as their price has dropped 36% from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and recent play shows no sustained pressure. Historically, similar situations suggest under 1.5 total goals is unlikely, with poor ROI and no confirmed edge, so no bet is advised. The top markets also indicate no positive expected value or edge for any main bets, making this a monitoring phase rather than a betting opportunity.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 17