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England | Premier League | Newcastle - Brighton | 02.05.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 18'   —   Newcastle 1:0 Brighton
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 - - 2.3 2.02 - -
Away 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - - 1.82 1.6 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 4 4.33 1.2 1.22 2 - - 1.05 11 1.3 3.5 1.98 1.88
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.2% | EV -9.6% | ROI +16.8% | n=120 | k=2.30
2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -3.0% | ROI -7.8% | n=120 | k=1.88
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.8% | EV -2.9% | ROI -18.7% | n=120 | k=1.60
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.4% | EV -5.7% | ROI +0.8% | n=120 | k=1.30
AI-agent: At 18 minutes into the Newcastle vs Brighton match, Newcastle leads 1-0 but the game shows no clear dominance from either side in terms of shots or sustained pressure. Market odds have shifted significantly in favor of Newcastle, reflecting the current score, yet historical data on similar situations is weak and does not support betting on under 1.5 goals, with a negative expected value and ROI. The model suggests no confident betting opportunities now, and top markets also indicate no bets with negative edges and EVs. This is a monitoring phase rather than a signal for entry, so caution is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 18