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England | Premier League | Newcastle - Brighton | 02.05.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Newcastle 2:1 Brighton
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 11 5 6 2 - 6.4 2.7 2.02 - -
Away 1 0 0 13 4 9 10 - - - 1.82 1.48 1.11
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.02 17 501 1.5 1.25 1.4 - - - - - - 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +25.1% | EV +37.6% | ROI +50.0% | n=45 | k=1.50
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.6% | EV +52.9% | ROI +27.3% | n=45 | k=2.70
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.9% | EV +33.1% | ROI +5.9% | n=45 | k=1.44
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -24.4% | EV -36.0% | ROI -16.8% | n=45 | k=1.48
AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Newcastle leads Brighton 2-1 in a match without red cards. The market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, with movements mainly reflecting the current score change. Despite Newcastle's lead, the game lacks clear dominance, and Brighton has applied pressure recently. Historical data strongly supports a double chance on Newcastle (1X) with a 100% success rate in 45 similar matches and a 50% ROI, but the entry window for this bet closed after the 86th minute. The top markets suggest watching the 1X, Asian Handicap Home -1, and Under 3.5 goals options, all showing positive expected value and edge, while avoiding the Asian Handicap Away +1 due to negative metrics. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control given the late stage of the match and balanced play.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 90