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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	5	6	2	-	6.4	2.7	2.02	-	-
Away	1	0	0	13	4	9	10	-	-	-	1.82	1.48	1.11

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.7	3.6	2.45	1.5	1.25	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +49.8% | EV +134.5% | ROI +152.0% | n=45 | k=2.70

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.7% | EV +55.8% | ROI +27.3% | n=45 | k=2.70

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +25.4% | EV +38.2% | ROI +50.0% | n=45 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.9% | EV +33.1% | ROI +5.9% | n=45 | k=1.44

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Newcastle leading 2-1 against Brighton, the market shows no strong signal and odds movement mainly reflects the current score change. The goal came without clear dominance from the scoring side, and shot statistics do not confirm a clear advantage. Brighton has applied pressure recently, but Newcastle maintains the lead without a decisive gameplay edge. Historical data from 45 similar matches strongly favors a Newcastle win with a 93.3% probability and high ROI, supporting a fair odds estimate around 1.07. The model indicates a strong edge and expected value for a Newcastle win at odds of 2.70, but the betting window for this market closed after the 86th minute. Top-4 markets suggest watching the home win and related bets as promising but currently recommend monitoring rather than placing new bets due to timing and risk considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 90