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England | Premier League | Newcastle - Brighton | 02.05.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Newcastle 3:1 Brighton
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 12 5 7 2 - 6.4 2.7 2.02 - -
Away 1 0 0 13 4 9 10 - - - 1.82 1.48 1.11
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.7 3.6 2.45 1.5 1.25 1.4 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | HOME | Edge +49.8% | EV +134.5% | ROI +152.0% | n=45 | k=2.70
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.7% | EV +55.8% | ROI +27.3% | n=45 | k=2.70
3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +25.4% | EV +38.2% | ROI +50.0% | n=45 | k=1.50
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -25.5% | EV -37.6% | ROI -16.8% | n=45 | k=1.48
AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Newcastle leading 3-1, the market shows no strong signal and odds have not dropped significantly since pre-match, reflecting the current score change rather than clear dominance. Despite the lead, Newcastle does not demonstrate a clear game advantage, and Brighton has applied pressure in the final phase. Historical data supports a home win with a 93.3% probability and strong ROI, and the model indicates a high edge and expected value for a Newcastle win. However, the betting window for this market closed after the 86th minute, so no new bets are advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, with risk control recommended given the match dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 90