Match Replay

Step 16 of 72. Current minute: 22 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	1.9	1.4	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	2.85	1.95

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.28	5.5	11	1.05	1.14	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.06	10

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.7% | EV +48.1% | ROI +133.3% | n=15 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.3% | EV +35.2% | ROI +110.0% | n=15 | k=2.85

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.1% | EV +27.8% | ROI +193.3% | n=15 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.6% | ROI +69.0% | n=15 | k=1.95

AI-agent: At 22 minutes with Le Havre leading 2-1, the market is increasingly favoring the home side, reflecting their dominance in shots and recent pressure. Although historical data suggests a 66.7% chance for a draw or Metz win, this sample is limited and the historical check is weak. The model identifies value in betting on X2 (draw or away win) with a 13.7% edge and 48.1% expected value, but entry conditions are not yet met given the current match dynamics. All top-4 markets recommend watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity. Caution is advised as the situation evolves.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 22