Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	1.9	1.4	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	2.85	1.95

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5.5	11	1.05	1.14	3.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.07	9

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.0% | EV +56.2% | ROI +142.6% | n=17 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.1% | EV +34.4% | ROI +102.1% | n=17 | k=2.85

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.7% | EV +25.8% | ROI +191.2% | n=17 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.0% | EV +4.0% | ROI +60.6% | n=17 | k=1.95

AI-agent: At 23 minutes, Le Havre leads Metz 2-1 with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 22% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming their dominance in shots and tempo. However, historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully support the expected outcome, with only 17 matches analyzed and the entry rule not met. The best model suggestion is a double chance on Metz (X2) with a 15% edge and 56% expected value, but this is a watch situation rather than a clear betting opportunity. Caution is advised, and monitoring the match progression is recommended before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 23