Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	8	3	5	4	-	2.1	1.45	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	4	1	3	1	-	-	-	-	2.67	1.77

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5.5	12	1.04	1.14	3.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +52.7% | ROI +74.7% | n=88 | k=3.75

2) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.1% | EV +27.8% | ROI +93.8% | n=88 | k=5.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.4% | EV +33.1% | ROI +51.9% | n=88 | k=2.67

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.5% | EV +4.5% | ROI +31.1% | n=88 | k=1.77

AI-agent: At the 42nd minute, Le Havre leads Metz 2-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 22% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Le Havre's dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data for similar situations supports a double chance on Metz (draw or win) with a positive ROI of 74.7%, but the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching the double chance on Metz with an edge of +14.1% and EV of +52.7%, indicating a promising opportunity but requiring cautious monitoring rather than immediate betting.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 42