Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	8	3	5	4	-	2.5	2.6	1.27	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	3.55	1.48	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	3.2	5	1.17	1.33	1.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.02	17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +14.1% | EV +70.5% | ROI -49.5% | n=99 | k=5.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.2% | EV +27.0% | ROI -17.1% | n=99 | k=1.91

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.2% | EV +3.8% | ROI +6.7% | n=99 | k=3.20

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.2% | ROI +12.1% | n=99 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At halftime in Le Havre 2:1 Metz, the market shows increased support for a draw, with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Le Havre, the pre-match favorite, maintains shooting superiority, but recent play lacks sustained pressure from either side. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not confirm a profitable edge for the double chance X2 market, despite a model edge of +14.2% and expected value of +27.0%. However, the entry conditions for betting on X2 are not met yet, so this remains a watch situation rather than a clear betting opportunity. The top-4 markets also suggest monitoring rather than active betting, emphasizing risk control in this balanced match scenario.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 45