Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	8	3	5	5	-	2.5	3.45	1.38	-	-
Away	2	0	0	6	1	5	2	-	-	-	3	1.3	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.05	2.88	4.75	1.17	1.36	1.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +14.4% | EV +68.2% | ROI -49.5% | n=99 | k=4.75

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +15.2% | EV +22.7% | ROI +12.1% | n=99 | k=1.50

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.0% | EV +18.3% | ROI -17.1% | n=99 | k=1.67

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.4% | ROI +6.7% | n=99 | k=2.88

AI-agent: At the 45th minute with the score tied at 2-2, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels reflecting the current scoreline. Le Havre, the pre-match favorite, maintains a shot advantage, but neither side has sustained pressure recently, matching the balanced score. Historical data for similar situations supports a +1.5 handicap on Metz with a 74.7% win rate and 12.1% ROI, though the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching the away handicap +1.5 and the draw, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity. Caution is advised as the entry conditions for a confident bet are not fully met despite promising edges and expected value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 45