Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	9	4	5	5	-	2.5	3.9	1.3	-	-
Away	3	0	0	7	3	4	2	-	-	-	3.45	1.24	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.1	2.4	6	1.12	1.5	1.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +11.6% | EV +69.9% | ROI -100.0% | n=2 | k=6.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +24.1% | EV +36.1% | ROI +50.0% | n=2 | k=1.50

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.4% | EV +19.0% | ROI -100.0% | n=2 | k=1.67

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -9.8% | EV -14.7% | ROI +50.0% | n=2 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 60th minute with the score tied at 3-3, the market is favoring Le Havre, reflected by a 25% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Le Havre, the pre-match favorite, maintains a shooting advantage, though recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data for similar situations is limited and weak, with only two matches supporting an away handicap +1.5 bet, but this sample is too small for confidence. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best candidate with a 24.1% edge and 36.1% expected value; however, entry conditions are not met due to the current match dynamics. The top-4 market signals suggest watching the away handicap +1.5 and away win options rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring rather than mandatory action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 60