Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	4	0	0	9	4	5	5	-	2.3	1.4	1.3	-	-
Away	3	0	0	7	3	4	2	-	-	-	3.45	2.85	1.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	6	21	1.01	1.12	4.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.2% | EV +43.4% | ROI +0.0% | n=2 | k=2.85

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.4% | EV +51.5% | ROI -100.0% | n=2 | k=4.50

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.8% | EV +35.1% | ROI -100.0% | n=2 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.3% | EV +6.8% | ROI +50.0% | n=2 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At the 60th minute, Le Havre leads Metz 4-3 in this Ligue 1 match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 25% from pre-match levels, reflecting their shot dominance despite the close score. Recent phases show no sustained pressure from either team, though Le Havre remains more active overall. Historical data for similar handicap bets is limited and inconclusive, so the edge is uncertain. The model identifies a promising bet on Metz +1 handicap with good expected value, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met yet. The top-4 markets suggest watching this opportunity rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry signal. Caution and risk control are advised given the match's fluctuating tempo and scoreline.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 60