Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	1	3	4	-	2.67	2	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	-	-	-	2.35	1.85	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	4	6.5	1.11	1.22	2.38	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.5	1.53

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +4.3% | EV +10.2% | ROI -5.4% | n=497 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.6% | EV +6.7% | ROI +1.9% | n=497 | k=1.85

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.1% | ROI +12.0% | n=497 | k=2.62

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -0.9% | ROI +8.0% | n=497 | k=1.53

AI-agent: At 32 minutes into the Lorient vs Strasbourg match, Lorient leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 27% drop in odds from pre-match levels, although shot data does not clearly support dominance. The recent phase shows Lorient pressing more, but overall gameplay balance remains. Historical data from 497 similar matches suggests a 16.1% edge for an away win with a positive ROI of 4.6%, and the model currently favors Strasbourg to win at odds of 6.50 with an expected value of +40.5%. However, the entry conditions for placing this bet are not yet met given the current score and match tempo, so no bet is advised now. Top-4 market signals recommend watching the double chance on Strasbourg, Asian handicap +1 for the away side, and under 2.5 goals, all with moderate edges and EVs, but no strong bet opportunity. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so cautious observation is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387971 | minute: 32